The Black Sea region after Moscow’s war against Ukraine. Defense and deterrence models

Abstract

With the war in Ukraine at the centre of developments in the Black Sea region, the article explores possible future developments after the end of this conflict and tries to anticipate challenges generated by the fact that the perception of this region has changed. The article aims to discuss important aspects of future defense and deterrence models in the Black Sea region from a Euro-Atlantic perspective after the end of the war in Ukraine. The approach is important because, regardless of the evolution of the conflict, the immediate consequences will have a specific impact primarily in this geopolitical area. That is why the assessment must start from the assumption that the future security agenda and the defense of a post-conflict Ukraine will become the agenda of the entire region.